This is why I drive a small, fuel efficent car.

Oil prices are heading to more than $141 a barrel in the next eight years,
according to futures contracts on the New York Mercantile Exchange, on concern
that growth in supply may fail to keep pace with rising demand.

You think? Considering oil is at $130, I expect oil to hit $141 in the next eight days, not years.

Let's say oil doesn't continue to go up $1/day. It goes up half that, 50 cents/day. By 1/09:

243 days x .50 cents=$121.5

For every dollar oil rises, gasoline rises .05 cents.

121.5 x .05=6.075 (let's say $6)

Gasoline is ~$3.50/gallon

$3.5 + $6=$9.5/gallon of gasoline

By the time Obama takes office, gas will be almost $10/gallon.

There are a lot of variables I'm not considering or don't even know about. If oil only goes up a dime a day, gas will only be about $4.70 a gallon, but that seems rather low. There could be many factors that make oil drop or rise, such as economic slowdown, discovery of more oil, release of stored oil, more/faster pumping, government action, conservation, speculation, hoarding and so on. However, most of these price-lowering factors would be temporary.

I think I'll get my bike out of the shed. I bought it two years ago in preparation, pretending I wanted the exercise. I didn't want anyone to laugh at me for predicting oil would rise to $100/barrel.

Added: Did I mention I have a dystopic view of the world?

I bring you glad tidings!

The Flying Spaghetti Monster has performed a miracle! He has appeared in a lunch box in all his Noodly Glory.

Ramen, in the name of the Noodle.

Your Democratic Party speaks.

Washington must assert to the rest of the world that if they want to be
friends with America, they need to do more to keep Iran from acquiring nuclear
weapons, visiting US Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi said Sunday in an
exclusive interview with The Jerusalem Post.

Pelosi said the US needed to be more "proactive" in saying to the countries of the world - including Russia, China and the Muslim countries in Asia - that "one of the pillars of US foreign policy is to stop the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction to anyone." The US needed to make it clear to everyone, including the Europeans, that their polices on this issue would be a term of friendship with the US, and a measuring stick of benefits they could derive from that friendship, she said.
The US cannot stop nuclear proliferation alone, Pelosi said, adding that "if these weapons proliferate, they are a threat to everyone, not just to the US, and not just to Israel."
Via.

God, this is depressing. When Bush bombs Iran before the election, Congress won't do a thing. Iran isn't a threat. I'd give you links but I'm too damn depressed.

K-Lo Goes To Confession

IV Shoot the Moon

K-Lo: Bless me, Father, for I have sinned. It's been twelve hours and fifty minutes since my last--

Father: Yes!!

K-Lo: Excuse me, Father?

Father: It's nothing, Kathryn Jean. I won a little wager, just a joke. This'll put Father Gregory's nose out of joint. He said Divine Intervention told him twenty hours and not a minute less.

K-Lo: My God, I am sorry for my sins with all my heart. In choo--

Father: We can get a flat screen tv for the rectory, now. If I hear one more time about Father Gregory's High Definition I'll be tempted past all redemption.

K-Lo: Father, should I come back later?

Father: No, no, Kathryn Jean. On with the sinning!

K-Lo: Father, I had impure thoughts about William Shatner.

Father: (giggles)

K-Lo: Father, are you okay?

Father: Yes, of course, go on, dear.

K-Lo: It started when I read Captain Kirk would be a conservative. Then I started to think about the masquerade party at the Buckley's, where Jonah dressed up in a Starship Captain uniform and offered to show me his phaser, if I didn't tell his mom. The next day at the office he wouldn't say a word to me when I tried to share with him our wedding invitations, but I still lust after the sight of a man in a velour uniform.

Father: Kathryn Jean, God gave us these impulses for a reason, to help a girl accept her duty to marry and raise a family in His honor. Maybe you'd better hurry.

K-Lo: I try Father, I do. But it's hard out there for a girl with intellect and a glandular problem. I want to serve the Lord, but He's making it pretty darn difficult. Oh, sorry, Father.

Father: Remember the story of Mary and Martha. Martha toiled, but Mary listened to God's word and won His favor. Listen to Him and He'll let you know what to do.

K-Lo: I think I know what to do. Since the first time I saw Mitt Romney I knew my fate was to be his second wife. As Abraham did before him, Mitt also can have a wife or two and a couple of dozen concubines. Thanks, Father. I have a lot to do before joining my future husband.

Father: No, dear, times have changed. So have laws. I have a nephew, he's not young anymore but he has a good job with benefits. Let me introduce you.

K-Lo: You're a pip, Father, but God has shown me the way. Utah or Bust!

Father: In the Name of Jesus Christ, go in peace. Oy.

Why I Lost the Contest

It isn't fair. The other kids had more time than me and they have faster computers. If I had a faster computer my entry would have been even better than theirs. None of the judges liked me. I bet they're all Democrats and were prejudiced against me. They were too stupid to understand me anyway. If they could understand me I would have won. They didn' t even try. One of them was a minority. You know how prejudiced they all are. Everyone was against my topic. I guess they think it wasn't politically correct enough. But I have too many principles to pander to them. I'm the real winner. Oh, yes, I am.

Jonah Goldberg Says "Liberal Fascism" Was "Out of [Jon Stewart's] Depth"

At last a little tidbit on Jonah Goldberg's incoherent interview on The Daily Show. Of course, the problem was not Jonah's inability to admit he was full of it. It was just that Stewart couldn't really comprehend a book as complex as "Liberal Fascism: The Secret History of the American Left, From Mussolini to the Politics of Meaning."

In terms of Jon Stewart, you know, I have more sympathy for Jon Stewart
than a lot of people do. I think he made a very grave mistake which was he tried
to read the book in a day. He told me he spent all day reading the book and all
day sort of surfing around, reading about fascism. And I just think he was out
of his depth. And I'm not saying he's not smart enough to have grasped all the
stuff but you can't do it in a day. He says he went and read Mussolini's "Doctrine of Fascism" and in "Doctrine of Fascism," Mussolini says that fascism
is against liberalism and Jon Stewart thought this was just wonderfully
eye-opening and an important rebuttal to my book. But the important thing that
he didn't understand was that "Doctrine of Fascism" was written a dozen years
after fascism was already on the scene and that Mussolini was trying to restart
fascism and, more importantly, the liberalism that Mussolini was referring to
wasn't the liberalism of Jon Stewart or Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama but it
was the liberalism of you and me. It was the liberalism of classical liberalism
of free-market liberalism. Manchester liberalism.
But I don't think Stewart understands or had those kinds of distinctions in mind, so he just had a really hard time with the book. And we get up there and it showed, we started knocking heads and I wasn't going to be bullied, a lot of f-bombs started flying around and I think he realized that it didn't work and that the thing he was left with was sort of this 18-minute monstrosity that he had to cut down to at 6 minutes.
And I at least have to give him credit for telling the viewers that it was this
mess and because they could have tried to cut it in such a way to make it seem
as if it was seamless and at least they telegraphed it to the viewer that it was
a hatchet job. And anybody who watched it, their reaction would be ‘what the
hell was that?' And so I think that helps. I get a lot of hate mail but I didn't get a lot of hate mail from the Jon Stewart thing because I think most
people recognize how grotesquely unfair to me and they have no idea what the
real conversation was and I think it made some people curious, I wonder what Goldberg actually has to say.
SHEFFIELD: Do you think they should have released the whole thing on the internet?
GOLDBERG: Oh, I think so, and I think some people would be kind of disappointed with it because as I said, we knocked heads from the beginning. It was just an ineffective interview. One of the things that-and I probably shouldn't have done the show until I had been more comfortable talking about the book, it was probably a little too early. But at the end of the day, he just didn't get the book and he kept trying to come at me from different directions and I wouldn't get, I wouldn't back down. So it was a lot of sort of talking past each other and knocking heads and all the rest. It wasn't like-it wasn't just a function of how it was edited, that was the reality
of it.
SHEFFIELD: Yeah, and I think that's because the prime component of his
humor style is conservatives are idiots. And in that interview, I think you
showed very clearly that he didn't know anything about what he was talking
about.
GOLDBERG: Yeah, I think in some ways it was worse than that. I mean
he knew just enough to really be wrong about some stuff. I mean he would have
been better off if he had just sort of come in from the perspective of what my
book was about but instead he wanted to go after me.
And the interesting thing on that is that, and I'm sure you've got better evidence of this than I do, is that he does not have that approach with liberal authors. With liberal authors, it's ‘Tell me what your book is about,' or ‘Oh, isn't that
interesting,' and ‘Explain that more' and little jokes on the side. But not sort
of, you know, attacking directly the author and the author's work. He only
reserves that kind of thing for conservatives. And I think that's a
shame.
SHEFFIELD: It is. And I think there's a lot of stupidity on all sides
of politics.
GOLDBERG: Yeah, I mean Jon Stewart could be a real asset to the
culture if he hadn't sort of imbibed the ‘I am the king of the left-wing
blogosphere' persona that he has in the last couple of years, the sort of ‘I'm
the hero of the republic' persona. I think he needs to get back to what he used
to be good at which is the sort of even-handed kind of stuff. And I know he did
that thing on the Marines in California, the Marine recruiters and all that.
Because if he just gets labeled as a left-wing guy, it's going to hurt his
ratings, because I think a lot of conservatives think that at least part of the
show is pretty funny and he should just lay off trying to be an advocate for one
side of the fight.
SHEFFIELD: Yeah, and it really makes it difficult for
anybody for anybody to take him seriously as a media critic when every single
one of his points is the media need to be more liberal and talk about how Bush
is a liar.
GOLDBERG: Yeah.
SHEFFIELD: It's just completely unserious.

Please, Jonah, do get that interview released. I'm sure you'll be totally vindicated. Don't you want the truth to come out?

I mean, he knew just enough to really be wrong about some stuff.

Stop it, Jonah, you're killing me!

"We're Winning"

The soldier on NRO's famous "We're Winning" cover has been killed. Its author, Rich Lowry, says it is "very sad news."

I don't think soldiers would like to have their deaths politicized, so that is all I will say.